The difficulties of Labour leader Keir Starmer have given an unexpected respite to the Scottish National Party (SNP). Although its record of governing in Scotland is mixed, polls point to a fifth consecutive term. Labour, which dreamed of regaining ground, now even doubts reaching second place in Holyrood.
The algorithm of discontent: how the leadership crisis drives the nationalist vote 🗳️
Recent poll data shows a direct correlation between the decline in confidence in Starmer and the SNP's uptick in voting intention. While British Labour gets tangled in internal disputes and a lack of clear messaging, Scottish nationalists capitalize on the discontent. Their campaign machinery, though worn out, remains more effective than that of a Labour Party that fails to connect with the Scottish electorate.
The SNP paradox: mixed government record, but Starmer is worse 🤷
The SNP has a governance record that would make a project manager weep. Infrastructure promises that remain as sketches and educational systems with declining grades. But faced with a Starmer who doesn't know whether to order a coffee or a declaration of independence, Scots think: better a known poor manager than a leader searching for his compass in Labour's old junk closet.