James Hansen predicts that twenty twenty-six will be the hottest year ever recorded

Published on May 03, 2026 | Translated from Spanish

Climatologist James Hansen, a renowned figure in the study of climate change, has issued a serious warning. According to his models, 2026 could surpass 2024 as the hottest year on record. The main cause would be the arrival of a new El Niño event in the second half of this year, a phenomenon that warms the Pacific and drives up global temperatures.

A global thermometer with 2026 in red, over a Pacific map with heatwaves and active El Niño.

Climate model technology and the El Niño forecast 🌍

Current climate prediction systems, based on supercomputers and satellite data, allow for anticipating the development of El Niño months in advance. Hansen uses models that integrate oceanic and atmospheric variables to calculate the cumulative impact. The accuracy of these tools has improved, but factors such as volcanic activity or natural ocean variability still introduce significant margins of error in long-term projections.

Air conditioning: the hero we all love to hate ❄️

With this outlook, the only certainty is that electricity bills will rise along with the mercury. While politicians debate climate agreements, the rest of the world prepares for an eternal summer. At least fan companies will have their best year. Maybe we should start making friends among the penguins, just in case.