AI and layoffs: the false promise of savings that never comes

Published on May 16, 2026 | Translated from Spanish

A recent Gartner report debunks one of the most widespread myths in digital transformation: that firing employees to pay for artificial intelligence is a profitable strategy. The consulting firm surveyed executives from large corporations with annual revenues exceeding one billion dollars. The result is conclusive: around 80% of companies implementing autonomous AI have reduced their workforce, in some cases by up to 20%, but there is no appreciable difference in return on investment (ROI) between those that lay off staff and those that do not.

Bar chart comparing ROI of companies with and without AI-related layoffs, Gartner 2024

Technical analysis: Null ROI in the labor substitution equation 📊

The study's lead analyst, Helen Poitevin, is clear in stating that there is no statistical connection between ROI and layoffs. The logic of replacing humans with machines to reduce operational costs is simply not holding up. In fact, some companies have had to rehire staff after finding that AI created bottlenecks or a loss of tacit knowledge. If we visualize a comparative 3D chart, we would see two nearly identical curves: one represents companies that cut staff and the other those that maintained their workforce. Both show a flat or marginal ROI, suggesting that salary savings are diluted in hidden costs of integration, system maintenance, and collateral productivity loss.

Social reengineering: Empower, don't replace 🔄

The report reveals that the best-performing companies are those that integrate AI to enhance their workers' performance, rather than replace them. This collaborative approach creates a virtuous cycle: AI automates repetitive tasks, employees focus on high-value work, and the organization retains critical knowledge. The strategy of cutbacks, Gartner warns, is not only ineffective in the short term but is harmful in the long term. In a digital ecosystem where trust and specialization are currency, firing to fund AI is a miscalculation that is already forcing many companies to backtrack and rehire.

How can a company quantify the true hidden cost of massive workforce disengagement when the implementation of generative AI reveals that the anticipated savings are diluted in retraining expenses, loss of tacit knowledge, and internal cultural resistance?

(PS: Tech nicknames are like children: you name them, but the community decides what to call them)